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The latest voice of the central bankThe relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.

Judging from the content of the meeting, we need to focus on three aspects, one is to continue to boost consumption, the other is to promote the development of private economy, and the last is to develop high technology. Combined with the current market situation, it can be seen that the consumption line will continue. Even if the short-term increase is too large and there is adjustment, the high probability will not end here, because from the monthly trend of individual sectors, there is still room for further increase, but we need to remind everyone that when the short-term increase is too large and too fast, remember to stop and not be impulsive.At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.The national conference on development and reform was held in Beijing. The conference emphasized that we should increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies, implement more active macro policies, enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation, and do a good job in economic propaganda and expected guidance. Expand domestic demand in all directions. We will do a good job in the "two new" work, implement special actions to boost consumption, and promote consumption expansion, quality improvement and efficiency improvement. Promote the further and comprehensive deepening of the implementation of reform measures. Focus on important areas and key links to carry out key reforms. Focus on the construction of a unified national market and revise and introduce a new version of the negative list of market access. Intensify efforts to promote the development of the private economy and promote the promulgation of the Private Economy Promotion Law as soon as possible. Vigorously support the high-quality development of manufacturing industry, accelerate the development of emerging industries and the cultivation of future industries, and do a good job in the high-quality development of digital economy.

For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.